← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship
decks
4
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
9-7-0
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.5%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1371
· median 1349
· range 1095–1689
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1172
Q3 1389
1689
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 54.7% | +3.0 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 6 | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 27.2% | -12.1 |
| Fire Diana | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.3% | +9.8 |
